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Ordered Conditional Approximations of Potts Models

Anirban Chakraborty, Matthias Katzfuss, Joseph Guinness

Spatial Statistics

Potts models, which can be used to analyze dependent observations on a lattice, have seen widespread application in a variety of areas, including statistical mechanics, neuroscience, and quantum computing. To address the intractability of Potts likeli- hoods for large spatial fields, we propose fast ordered conditional approximations that enable rapid inference for observed and hidden Potts models. Our methods can be used to directly obtain samples from the approximate joint distribution of an entire Potts field. The computational complexity of our approximation methods is linear in the number of spatial locations; in addition, some of the necessary computations are naturally parallel. We illustrate the advantages of our approach using simulated data and a satellite image.